Application of fuzzy sets theory to assess the risk of oil and gas investment projects in terms of the production sharing agreement

Authors: Yu.G. Bogatkina, I.A. Ponomareva, N.A. Eremin (Oil and Gas Research Institute of RAS)
The practice of implementation and economic evaluation of oil and gas investment projects demonstrates the need for comprehensive accounting of uncertainty factors. Accounting for uncertainty of information is directly dependent on the choice of the mathematical apparatus, defined by mathematical theory and provides a reasonable formalization of the uncertainty, arising at the financial flows management, that is extremely important at the assessing the risk in investment projects in terms of the production sharing agreement.
The practice of implementation and economic evaluation of oil and gas investment projects demonstrates the need for comprehensive accounting of uncertainty factors. Accounting for uncertainty of information is directly dependent on the choice of the mathematical apparatus, defined by mathematical theory and provides a reasonable formalization of the uncertainty, arising at the financial flows management, that is extremely important at the assessing the risk in investment projects in terms of the production sharing agreement.


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