Organic fuels are currently the main source of energy and, as numerous studies show, given the annual growth in global energy consumption, they will remain so in the medium term. Despite the fact that oil will gradually lose its dominant position in the energy sector, being replaced by more environmentally friendly and efficient energy sources, the need for it, given its widespread use in the energy sector and in a number of other industries, will remain quite high. In this regard, the concerns of many scientists and specialists are caused by the exhaustion of oil resources both in Russia and on our planet as a whole. The article presents the results of the authors' analysis of oil production, consumption and reserves in the world, in various regions and in leading countries in terms of reserves and production. It is shown that the situation with the replenishment of oil resources to maintain the level of production required by the world economy is not acceptable for developing a long-term strategy for the oil industry development, even taking into account the abiogenic theory of oil origin, which proves its renewability, and which has been proven in recent years by many factual data and experimental results, including those obtained by Gubkin University.
References
2. Bessel’ V.V., Lopatin A.S., Martynov V.G., Mingaleeva R.D., The role of oil and gas in the transformation of global energy at the present stage (In Russ.), Neftegazovaya vertikal’, 2024, no. 10, pp. 52–64.
3. Martynov V.G., Bessel’ V.V., Lopatin A.S., Mingaleeva R.D., Global energy consumption forecasting for the medium and long term perspective (In Russ.), Neftyanoe khozyaystvo = Oil Industry, 2022, no. 8, pp. 30–34, DOI: https://doi.org/10.24887/0028-2448-2022-8-30-34
4. Bessel’ V.V., Lopatin A.S., Martynov V.G., Mingaleeva R.D., Forecast of the Russian economy energy supply in the medium term (In Russ.), Problemy ekonomiki i upravleniya neftegazovym kompleksom, 2022, no. 8(212), pp. 5–14, DOI: https://doi.org/10.33285/1999-6942-2022-8(212)-5-14
5. Energy Institute Statistical Review of World Energy, 2023, URL: https://www.energyinst.org/statistical-review/
6. Aksyutin O.E., Ishkov A.G., Romanov K.V. et al., Ecological efficiency of production and application of natural gas on the basis of its full life cycle estimation (In Russ.), Vesti gazovoy nauki, 2017, no. 5(33), pp. 3–11.
7. Bessel’ V.V., Lopatin A.S., Martynov V.G., On the state of the hydrocarbon resource base (In Russ.), Geologiya, geofizika i razrabotka neftyanykh i gazovykh mestorozhdeniy, 2024, no. 12(396), pp. 5–16.
8. Bessel’ V.V., Lopatin A.S., Martynov V.G., Mingaleeva R.D., Revisiting the issue of estimating global national hydrocarbon reserves (In Russ.), Trudy RGU nefti i gaza imeni I.M. Gubkina, 2024, no. 4(317), pp. 5–16.
9. Reserve-replacement ratio: What it means, how it works, URL: https://www.investopedia.com/terms/r/reserve-replacement-ratio.asp/
10. Osnovnye tendentsii razvitiya neftetreydinga v Rossii v usloviyakh fragmentatsii mirovogo tovarnogo rynka energoresursov: monografiya (Main trends in the development of oil trading in Russia in the context of fragmentation of the global energy commodity market: monograph): edited by Telegina E.A., Moscow: Rusayns Publ., 2024, 168 p.
11. Mingaleeva R. D., Bessel’ V.V., The world’s major economies sustainable development requires more energy (In Russ.), Problemy ekonomiki i upravleniya neftegazovym kompleksom, 2022, no. 3(207), pp. 57–63, DOI: https://doi.org/10.33285/1999-6942-2022-3(207)-57-63
12. Kondrat’eva T.I., Roginskiy V.V., Grenlandiya. Bol’shaya rossiyskaya entsiklopediya 2004-2017 (Greenland. The Great Russian Encyclopedia 2004-2017), URL: https://old.bigenc.ru/geography/text/2377858
13. Arkticheskie ambitsii Trampa: neft’ i gaz est’, no dobychi net (Trump’s arctic ambitions: There’s oil and gas, but no production), URL: https://oilcapital.ru/news/2025-01-13/arkticheskie-ambitsii-trampa-neft-i-gaz-est-no-dobychi-net-529...
14. Kucherov V.G., Bessel’ V.V., Oil global geological resources and reserves assessment: myth and reality (In Russ.), Neftyanoe khozyaystvo = Oil Industry, 2021, no. 10, pp. 14–18, DOI: https://doi.org/10.24887/0028-2448-2021-10-14-18
15. Kutcherov V., Krayushkin V., The deep-seated abiogenic origin of petroleum: from geological assessment to physical theory, Review of Geophysics, 2010, V. 48, RG1001, DOI: https://doi.org/10.1029/2008RG000270
