The complex of questions connected with long-term forecasting of development of oil and gas sector of world economy in the context with forecasting of global energy consumption in general is considered in the article. The most important factors, problems, trends and events that determine the behavior of the oil market in the short and medium term are considered. The analysis of the forecasts published in 2016-2017 of the world's leading forecasting centers - the International Energy Agency, the US Energy Information Administration, the OPEC Secretariat, Japan Energy Economics Institute and ExxonMobil - is carried out. Based on this analysis, the main trends and patterns of development of global energy consumption in the period up to 2040 were revealed. Among them are further improvement of the energy balance in use without carbon and low-carbon energy and energy resources, while the role of oil in it in the latest forecasts even grows. The inconsistency of the considered forecasts is particularly noted that, according to the author, the degree of uncertainty of development of both the world economy as a whole and the world energy is growing. In his treasure in this growth are making and globalization, and geopolitics, and the explosive development of science and technology. The situation is aggravated by the emerging surplus of energy resources. The upcoming changes in both the structure of liquid fuel consumption and its production are discussed in detail.
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