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Development of probabilistic and statistical models for the prediction of incised valleys by the example of Bashkir arch

Authors: A.V. Rastegaev (Perm National Research Polytechnic University, RF, Perm), A.N. Moroshkin (PermNIPIneft Branch of LUKOIL-Engineering LLC in Perm, RF, Perm)

Key words: incised valley, oil, field, well, seismic exploration, multivariate model.

Multivariate model for prediction of incised valley was built on the base of probabilistic and statistical analysis. Using this multivariate model the autors calculated the probability of having incised valley for each cluster within the entire territory of the Bashkir arch and built a probabilistic scheme of incised valleys.

References

1. Pakhomov V.I., Pakhomov I.V., Vizeyskaya uglenosnaya formatsiya zapadnogo sklona Srednego Urala i Priural'ya (Visean coal formation of the western slope of the Middle Urals and Ural regions), Moscow: Nedra Publ., 1980, 152 p.

2. Patent 2184986 RF, Procedure of local prediction of gas-and-oil content of traps in territories remote from area of generation of hydrocarbons, Inventors: Kobyakov N.I., Fuss V.A., Lavrukhin Yu.M. et al.

3. Il'inykh A.P., Parfenova Yu.V., Trassirovanie lineynykh zon peschanikov uvelichennoy moshchnosti v vizeyskoy terrigennoy tolshche s tsel'yu vydeleniya perspektivnykh uchastkov na postanovku seysmorazvedochnykh rabot (Tracing linear zones of sandstones increased power in the Visean terrigenous sequences in order to highlight prospective areas for staging seismic), Perm': Publ. of PermNIPIneft', 2001.

4. Vaksman S.I., Otsenka roli kanalov vtorichnoy migratsii uglevodorodov v vizeyskoy terrigennoy tolshche yugo-vostoka Permskoy oblasti (Platformennaya chast') (Eval uation of the channels role of secondary hydrocarbon migration in Visean terrigenous strata of southeast of Perm region (platform side)), Perm': Publ. of PermNIPIneft', 2004.

Key words: incised valley, oil, field, well, seismic exploration, multivariate model.

Multivariate model for prediction of incised valley was built on the base of probabilistic and statistical analysis. Using this multivariate model the autors calculated the probability of having incised valley for each cluster within the entire territory of the Bashkir arch and built a probabilistic scheme of incised valleys.

References

1. Pakhomov V.I., Pakhomov I.V., Vizeyskaya uglenosnaya formatsiya zapadnogo sklona Srednego Urala i Priural'ya (Visean coal formation of the western slope of the Middle Urals and Ural regions), Moscow: Nedra Publ., 1980, 152 p.

2. Patent 2184986 RF, Procedure of local prediction of gas-and-oil content of traps in territories remote from area of generation of hydrocarbons, Inventors: Kobyakov N.I., Fuss V.A., Lavrukhin Yu.M. et al.

3. Il'inykh A.P., Parfenova Yu.V., Trassirovanie lineynykh zon peschanikov uvelichennoy moshchnosti v vizeyskoy terrigennoy tolshche s tsel'yu vydeleniya perspektivnykh uchastkov na postanovku seysmorazvedochnykh rabot (Tracing linear zones of sandstones increased power in the Visean terrigenous sequences in order to highlight prospective areas for staging seismic), Perm': Publ. of PermNIPIneft', 2001.

4. Vaksman S.I., Otsenka roli kanalov vtorichnoy migratsii uglevodorodov v vizeyskoy terrigennoy tolshche yugo-vostoka Permskoy oblasti (Platformennaya chast') (Eval uation of the channels role of secondary hydrocarbon migration in Visean terrigenous strata of southeast of Perm region (platform side)), Perm': Publ. of PermNIPIneft', 2004.


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