Prediction of hydrocarbon deposit physical and geological commercial parameters under conditions of data uncertainty

Authors: A.I. Kobrunov, V.E. Kuleshov, A.S. Mogutov, A.N. Dorogobed (Ukhta State Technical University, RF Ukhta)

Key words: indefiniteness, modeling, dependent, data

The article covers the issues of uncertainties that occur in the forecasting of commercial physical and geological parameters processes. It describes basic steps of the indistinct petrophysical compositions method developed by the authors. According to an exemplary hydrocarbon field development, an implementation and application results are shown, including an assessment of the uncertainty of three-dimensional geological and geophysical models.

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